Who ends up with the belt?

Every program’s chance of holding the belt when the 2026 season’s games run out, as it stood on November 2, 2026, from 20,000 simulated seasons. Baylor held the belt, with Iowa State up next on November 7, 2026. BYU led the board at 28%.

1 BYU 28%
2 Texas Tech ▲3 15%
3 Kansas ▼1 11%
4 Oklahoma State ▼1 8%
5 Cincinnati ▼1 6%
6 Houston ▲1 6%
7 Baylor Holds it ▲3 6%
8 Iowa State 5%
9 Kansas State 5%
10 UCF ▼4 4%
11 Colorado 3%
12 TCU ▲2 3%

Moves are against the previous weekly snapshot. The live version of this list is the season outlook.