Who ends up with the belt?

Every program’s chance of holding the belt when the 2026 season’s games run out, as it stood on October 26, 2026, from 20,000 simulated seasons. UCF held the belt, with Baylor up next on October 30, 2026. BYU led the board at 28%.

1 BYU ▲1 28%
2 Kansas ▲4 14%
3 Oklahoma State ▲5 9%
4 Cincinnati ▲7 7%
5 Texas Tech ▼2 7%
6 UCF Holds it ▲4 7%
7 Houston ▲2 6%
8 Iowa State ▼3 5%
9 Kansas State ▼2 5%
10 Baylor ▲2 4%
11 Colorado ▲3 3%
12 Arizona ▼8 2%
13 Utah ▼12 2%
14 TCU ▼1 1%
15 Arizona State 0.2%
16 West Virginia 0.1%

Moves are against the previous weekly snapshot. The live version of this list is the season outlook.