Belt power rankings · week 2026-W40
Who ends up with the belt?
Every program’s chance of holding the belt when the 2026 season’s games run out, as it stood on October 2, 2026, from 20,000 simulated seasons. Notre Dame held the belt (4 defenses), with North Carolina up next on October 3, 2026. Notre Dame led the board at 56%.
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1
Notre Dame Holds it
56%
-
2
Miami
18%
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3
Utah
4%
- 4 SMU 4%
-
5
BYU
1%
- 6 Iowa State 1%
-
7
Duke
1%
-
8
Arizona
1%
-
9
Syracuse
1%
-
10
Texas Tech
1%
-
11
Memphis
1.0%
-
12
Kansas State
0.9%
-
13
Virginia
0.7%
- 14 Wake Forest 0.7%
-
15
Army
0.7%
-
16
Stanford
0.7%
-
17
Navy
0.6%
- 18 UCF 0.5%
- 19 Kansas 0.5%
- 20 Boston College 0.4%
- 21 Cincinnati 0.4%
-
22
Arizona State
0.4%
-
23
South Carolina
0.4%
-
24
Virginia Tech
0.3%
-
25
Clemson
0.3%
- 26 Houston 0.3%
-
27
Oklahoma State
0.2%
-
28
Baylor
0.2%
- 29 Charlotte 0.2%
-
30
TCU
0.2%
Moves are against the previous weekly snapshot. The live version of this list is the season outlook.