Up next: Baylor at BYU, November 14, 2026 — the belt is on the line
LaVell Edwards Stadium, Provo Fox
40% to defend, per our Elo estimate · 8% to hold the belt into the offseason (full season outlook) · line BYU -7.5, O/U 49.5 (DraftKings)
How to watch Baylor at BYU
| When | November 14, 2026 · 3:30 PM ET |
|---|---|
| TV | Fox |
| Where | LaVell Edwards Stadium, Provo |
| Why it matters | Baylor puts the lineal College Football Belt on the line; beat the holder and BYU takes it. |
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Baylor travels to BYU with the belt on the line
The Cougars have the edge in the all-time series at 3-2, including a 34-28 victory the last time these teams met in 2024, making this a chance for BYU to reclaim the belt on their home field.
Worth watching
- Baylor's offensive consistency against BYU's recent defensive improvements; the Bears scored 42, 41, and 55 points in three of their last five games while BYU held Iowa State to 10 points
- BYU's home-field advantage and recent form against ranked competition, having beaten Notre Dame 28-24 and Arizona State 27-20
- The Cougars' ability to execute in close games, as evidenced by their 28-24 win over Notre Dame and 24-10 victory over Iowa State
The numbers
BYU has won the head-to-head matchup in the most recent meeting (34-28 in 2024) and holds a 3-2 series advantage all-time. Baylor has shown defensive vulnerabilities, allowing 31 to Iowa State and 25 to Kansas in recent outings, while BYU has demonstrated the ability to win close contests and hold opponents to low scores. The Cougars' home-field performance and recent victories over quality opponents suggest they match up favorably with the belt-holding Bears.
Baylor 24, BYU 28
BYU enters this matchup with momentum and the all-time series advantage at 3-2, including last year's 34-28 win that showed the Cougars can execute down the stretch. Baylor's recent form includes two losses (24-25 at Kansas and 6-17 vs TCU) that expose defensive inconsistency, while BYU has strung together convincing wins over Notre Dame and Arizona State. The Cougars' ability to win close games and their home-field advantage in Provo make them slight favorites to capture the belt. Expect another tight contest given the teams' recent history, but BYU's recent confidence and experience in this rivalry give them the edge to reclaim the championship.
Written by Claude from the stats and forecast on this page — a for-fun editorial call, not betting advice or a guarantee. If it stops being fun, the National Problem Gambling Helpline is 1-800-522-4700.
Last 5 games
Baylor
- W 42–31 vs Iowa State November 7, 2026
- W 41–9 at UCF October 30, 2026
- L 24–25 at Kansas October 24, 2026
- L 6–17 vs TCU October 17, 2026
- W 55–19 at Arizona State October 3, 2026
BYU
- L 20–28 at Utah November 7, 2026
- W 27–20 vs Arizona State October 31, 2026
- L 31–39 at UCF October 24, 2026
- W 28–24 vs Notre Dame October 17, 2026
- W 24–10 vs Iowa State October 9, 2026
All-time series
BYU leads the series 3–2
| Season | Matchup | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 | BYU at Baylor | 34–28 |
| 2022 | Baylor at BYU | 20–26 |
| 2021 | BYU at Baylor | 24–38 |
| 1984 | Baylor at BYU | 13–47 |
| 1983 | BYU at Baylor | 36–40 |
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